Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Closes June 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/708764
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for S: 34%, Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Sen: 31%, David Williams be the Republican nominee for : 22%.
Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Vi
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-28.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this