Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$90K
Liquidity
$49K
Bid / Ask
26% / 27%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
27%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786386
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5: 79%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5: 31%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a dr: 27%.
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
24% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this