Markets/Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:29 AM UTC

Closes July 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$43

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

4% / 6%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Mar 19, 2026

Current

8% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 5%99%

Buy YES@ 5¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 95¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $43 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088108