Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Closes May 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/569346
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Iván Cepeda Castro: 87%, Ivan Cepeda Castro: 45%, Paloma Valencia: 39%.
Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this