Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Closes October 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$283K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential…
2026
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on October 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/601831
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.