ForecastMind
Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?
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Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

22%YES
78%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$39K

Bid / Ask

20% / 23%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786422

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?: 22%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?: 7%, Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 30-April 5?: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~66%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

22% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 22%99%
Buy YES@ 22¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 78¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this