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Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?
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Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

11%YES
89%NO

Volume 24h

$32K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

11% / 12%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

11%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.8pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: -7.1pp

22% → 15%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

15% YES (-7.1pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 11%99%
Buy YES@ 11¢

-3.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 89¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.5%
½ Kelly1.8%
Buy NO+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1603593