Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.3pp above current market price; market at 6% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.9% ↑, ETH +1.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
6% / 7%
Spread
1.90pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886062
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 57%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 24%, Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?: 9%.
Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
10% YES (+2.6pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-7.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this