ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?
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Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$4.9M

Liquidity

$1.1M

Bid / Ask

90% / 92%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-22?

2026

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

81% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

82% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536356