Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$65K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-22?
2026
17 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: +24.0pp
55% → 79%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
100% YES (+21.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543351
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.