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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?
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Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

92%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$3.2M

Liquidity

$9K

Expert Signal

92%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784029

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. SC Braga: 100%, SC Freiburg: 100%, FC Internazionale Milano: 92%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-10.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

41% → 33%

Apr 12, 2026

Current

33% YES (-10.0pp recent)

Apr 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 92%99%
Buy YES@ 92¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 8¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this