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Markets/Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
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Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1.2%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$9K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.70pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026
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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets16 markets

16 deadline markets. Combined YES = 128% — 28pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Israel strike 5 countries in 2026

28%
by June 30, 2026

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026

27%

Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

Israel strike 11 countries in 2026

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-4.2pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/678754