Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Parti Québécois: 50%, Parti libéral du Québec: 38%, Coalition Avenir Québec: 9%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~4%.
Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on October 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/789410