Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
FM Estimate
47%Market Price
50%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Scottish National Party: 98%, Plaid Cymru: 81%, Parti Québécois: 50%.
Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec g
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on October 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/789407