Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
Closes March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$145K
Liquidity
$243K
Bid / Ask
24% / 25%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
2026
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
23% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Current
24% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $145K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455234
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.