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Markets/Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21%YES
79%NO
Vol 24h$999
Liquidity$28K
Bid / Ask20% / 22%
Spread2.00pp
Outcome Markets56 markets

This event has 56 active outcome markets. Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 92%, Europe: 73%, Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 47%.

South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+0.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $999 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/840931