Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Closes June 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$79K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
3% / 3%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for…
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $79K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492425
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