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Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

7%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

7% / 7%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

7%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Full event →

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

7% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

7% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 7%99%
Buy YES@ 7¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 93¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/629117