ForecastMind
Markets/Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Share on X

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

20%YES
80%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$230K

Bid / Ask

20% / 20%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

20%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Biggest move: +10.3pp

21% → 32%

Mar 7, 2026

Peak probability

32% YES — highest in period

Mar 7, 2026

Current

18% YES (-0.4pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 20%99%
Buy YES@ 20¢
Edge

+1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 80¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553828