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Markets/Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
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Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$78K

Bid / Ask

9% / 10%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Peak probability

11% YES — highest in period

Mar 17, 2026

Current

9% YES (+0.8pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢
Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 91¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553827