Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$63K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
March
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
87% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
50% YES — lowest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Biggest move: +41.5pp
50% → 92%
Mar 21, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
98% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
+25.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $63K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662874
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.