Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?
Closes March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
89% / 90%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
89%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?
March
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
91% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
89% YES (+1.1pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
+3.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692192
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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