ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
36%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

64% / 65%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

69% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Trough probability

63% YES — lowest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Current

64% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692196