Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
18% / 20%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
20%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762324
This event has 23 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
23% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
18% YES (-1.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this