Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$29K
Bid / Ask
64% / 65%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
62%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
March
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
65% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
48% YES — lowest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 22, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -29.5pp
80% → 51%
Mar 20, 2026
Peak probability
91% YES — highest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Current
60% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662878
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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