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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

8% / 9%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

11% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Current

9% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 9%99%
Buy YES@ 9¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1673008