Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
7% / 8%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731393
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 8%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
10% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.8pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this