Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731397
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?: 11%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~45%.
price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
37% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
39% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this