Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
20% / 23%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
20%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1807999
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 64%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 20%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 16%.
price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Biggest move: +7.5pp
27% → 35%
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
35% YES — highest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Current
20% YES (-3.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this