Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
45%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 2?" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731400
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 47%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 11%.
price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
44% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this