Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing ETH +0.3% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
63% / 64%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808001
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 64%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 20%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 18%.
price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Biggest move: +7.5pp
55% → 62%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
64% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this