Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705516
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 35%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 11%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~11%.
price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Marc
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
17% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +24.0pp
18% → 42%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
42% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
41% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this