Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.1pp below current market price; market at 24% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
25% / 26%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879340
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 59%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 25%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~13%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
22% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +6.0pp
19% → 25%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
25% YES (+6.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this