Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing ETH +0.3% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
14% / 16%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 7?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808003
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 64%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 20%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 16%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
19% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Trough probability
13% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Current
16% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this