Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 2?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731407
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 8%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+33.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this