Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 2?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731411
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 8%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this