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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

96% / 98%

Spread

1.40pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+1.2pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?

March

Full event →
above $1,700 on March 25?
100%
above $1,800 on March 25?
100%
above $1,600 on March 27?
100%
above $1,900 on March 25?
100%
above $2,000 on March 25?
100%
above $1,800 on March 27?
99%
above $1,700 on March 27?
99%
above $1,600 on March 29?
99%
above $1,800 on March 29?
99%
above $1,900 on March 27?
98%
above $1,900 on March 29?
97%
above $2,000 on March 27?
93%
above $2,100 on March 25?
93%
above $2,000 on March 29?
88%
above $2,100 on March 27?
72%
above $2,100 on March 29?
68%
above $2,200 on March 29?
41%
above $2,200 on March 27?
39%
above $2,200 on March 25?
23%
between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 25?
21%
above $2,300 on March 29?
19%
above $2,300 on March 27?
14%
above $2,400 on March 29?
8%
above $2,400 on March 27?
4%
above $2,500 on March 29?
3%
above $2,300 on March 25?
2%
above $2,600 on March 29?
2%
above $2,500 on March 27?
1%
above $2,600 on March 27?
0%
above $2,400 on March 25?
0%
above $2,500 on March 25?
0%
above $2,600 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 25?
0%

33 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

98% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

98% YES (+0.3pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 2¢
Edge

+29.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO—+29.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662851

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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Event Cluster

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