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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

98% / 98%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.1pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731406

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.8pp

Key Moments

First recorded

96% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

98% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 2¢
Edge

+2.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO+2.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this