Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$52K
Liquidity
$35K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $52K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777516
This event has 12 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 5?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 5?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 5?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Trough probability
91% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Current
98% YES (+3.0pp recent)
Apr 5, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
+25.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this