Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$28K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
79% / 81%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
85%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?
March
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Trough probability
69% YES — lowest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: +11.0pp
69% → 80%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
80% YES (+11.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607587
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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