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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 2?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

75%YES
25%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

74% / 76%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

80%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+6.7pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 2?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731409

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+10.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

66% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +7.5pp

68% → 76%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

81% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

76% YES (-5.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 75%99%
Buy YES@ 75¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 25¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this