Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 75% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.1% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
76% / 77%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
80%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 6?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792458
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
59% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: +9.5pp
57% → 67%
Apr 6, 2026
Peak probability
67% YES — highest in period
Apr 6, 2026
Current
63% YES (-4.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this