Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 7% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.2% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$36K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
8% / 8%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792461
This event has 12 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Current
7% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.5%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this