Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.0pp above current market price; market at 93% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.1% ↑, ETH +3.0% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
92% / 94%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862488
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 11: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
85% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +9.0pp
84% → 93%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
93% YES (+9.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-5.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this