Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.0pp above current market price; market at 96% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.2% ↑, ETH +1.8% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
95% / 97%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879339
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 12: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
96% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this