Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 34% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.2% ↓, ETH -0.3% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
33% / 35%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
29%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 29%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831390
This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
63% YES
Apr 8, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
39%
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: -22.0pp
61% → 39%
Apr 8, 2026
Peak probability
70% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
33% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this