Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
95% / 98%
Spread
2.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 2.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831381
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
96% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
96% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
-3.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this