Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
10% / 12%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
March
29 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
12% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Current
11% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598705
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