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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 23?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 23?

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

69%YES
32%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

67% / 69%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

67%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

58% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

65% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 69%99%
Buy YES@ 69¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 31¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 23?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 67%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607685