Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
82% / 84%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
85%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705586
This event has 4 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 85%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 3%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~12%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Trough probability
71% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -11.0pp
82% → 71%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
80% YES (+9.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this